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Undrilled Acreage
Three banks published on Arrowhead in one week, used different methods, and landed in the same neighborhood. Conventional valuation has no natural place…
Sep 9
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Pelacarsen: The Refutation
Novartis lowered Lp(a) in 8,323 patients and failed to show fewer cardiovascular events. The drug hit its target. The hypothesis did not. That…
Sep 4
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The Number Nobody Is Watching: The Case for Early Approval
Accelerated approval on a tau biomarker has never been granted. Three recent decisions show what it may take, and the answer is not the biomarker…
Sep 2
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The Infusion Chair
Arrowhead presented a second Phase 3 result in Munich on Monday morning. Different disease, different competitor, hardly anybody in the room. The…
Sep 1
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August 2026
Second, With the Better Drug
Arrowhead presented the full SHASTA-3 and SHASTA-4 results in Munich on Sunday. The triglyceride numbers beat the competitor's, and so does the dosing…
Aug 31
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The Adjudicator
Arrowhead announced its ESC schedule this week. Two decisions inside that announcement were not made by Arrowhead, and they are the most informative…
Aug 25
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The Other September Readout
Everyone is watching the brain. The quieter half of Arrowhead's September tests something the brain readout cannot: whether the engine can build a new…
Aug 24
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The Jordan Premium
Why the market cannot price a drug-discovery engine, and what Arrowhead's is really worth. A guide to valuing the machine, not just the medicines it has…
Aug 17
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The Keystone
The rerate case for Arrowhead: one readout this September answers four questions at once, and reprices more than one company. A framework for reading…
Aug 10
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Arrowhead Q3: Don't Read the Quarter, Read the Setup
My quick take on today's numbers and the call. The quarter doesn't matter much, and that is the point. What matters: the biggest prize got closer, and…
Aug 4
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The Execution Engine
Arrowhead develops more clinical candidates, across more tissues, on less money than its larger peers. That engine, not any single drug, is the asset…
Aug 3
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July 2026
Powered for What, Revisited
Arrowhead's own guidance suggests the SHASTA-3/4 trials are more powered for pancreatitis than my first note allowed, which raises the stakes on the…
Jul 19
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